Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#217
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#233
Pace67.2#176
Improvement-1.0#208

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#230
Improvement+1.6#84

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#206
Improvement-2.6#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 20   Saint Louis L 42-61 12%     0 - 1 -9.3 -19.7 +8.1
  Nov 19, 2011 200   @ Northeastern L 57-64 33%     0 - 2 -5.5 -8.1 +1.9
  Nov 25, 2011 332   Chicago St. W 73-57 91%     1 - 2 -1.8 -6.8 +4.7
  Dec 07, 2011 188   Western Kentucky L 55-62 57%     1 - 3 -11.9 -18.5 +6.6
  Dec 11, 2011 175   @ Western Michigan L 43-54 28%     1 - 4 -8.1 -28.1 +19.5
  Dec 17, 2011 317   @ Northern Illinois W 62-49 70%     2 - 4 +4.5 -10.6 +15.7
  Dec 19, 2011 307   SIU Edwardsville W 80-57 83%     3 - 4 +9.7 -5.2 +13.3
  Dec 22, 2011 21   Kansas St. L 58-83 8%     3 - 5 -12.1 -9.3 -1.9
  Dec 23, 2011 82   Clemson L 75-83 OT 20%     3 - 6 -2.0 -1.5 +0.3
  Dec 25, 2011 61   Xavier L 77-87 16%     3 - 7 -2.3 +2.6 -4.0
  Dec 29, 2011 113   @ Evansville L 60-78 17%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -10.8 -13.5 +3.2
  Jan 01, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 86-71 34%     4 - 8 1 - 1 +16.4 +18.0 -0.8
  Jan 04, 2012 256   @ Bradley W 74-65 47%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +6.8 +9.6 -1.9
  Jan 07, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 73-83 9%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +1.7 +3.4 -1.6
  Jan 10, 2012 97   @ Missouri St. L 65-77 14%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -3.6 -6.6 +3.7
  Jan 13, 2012 132   Indiana St. W 73-67 42%     6 - 10 3 - 3 +5.0 +3.5 +1.7
  Jan 15, 2012 28   @ Creighton L 71-90 6%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -4.4 -3.7 +0.2
  Jan 18, 2012 130   Drake L 68-75 OT 42%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -7.9 -4.7 -3.0
  Jan 21, 2012 9   @ Wichita St. L 42-85 3%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -24.5 -24.2 +0.2
  Jan 24, 2012 256   Bradley W 77-60 72%     7 - 13 4 - 6 +8.0 +0.9 +6.8
  Jan 28, 2012 101   @ Illinois St. L 40-60 15%     7 - 14 4 - 7 -11.8 -23.8 +9.1
  Jan 31, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa L 49-58 14%     7 - 15 4 - 8 -0.1 -9.8 +8.0
  Feb 04, 2012 113   Evansville W 53-52 37%     8 - 15 5 - 8 +1.4 -13.6 +15.2
  Feb 08, 2012 97   Missouri St. L 54-56 33%     8 - 16 5 - 9 -0.4 -4.5 +3.6
  Feb 11, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. L 68-78 20%     8 - 17 5 - 10 -4.2 +4.9 -9.8
  Feb 14, 2012 28   Creighton L 69-88 16%     8 - 18 5 - 11 -11.2 +3.9 -17.8
  Feb 18, 2012 201   @ Ball St. L 62-71 33%     8 - 19 -7.5 -4.8 -3.5
  Feb 22, 2012 130   @ Drake L 63-78 20%     8 - 20 5 - 12 -9.1 -4.9 -4.1
  Feb 25, 2012 89   Northern Iowa L 61-65 31%     8 - 21 5 - 13 -1.9 -4.3 +2.0
  Mar 01, 2012 132   Indiana St. L 51-66 30%     8 - 22 -12.6 -13.0 -1.4
Projected Record 8.0 - 22.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%